The Zero Dollar Emergency Fund!

Last week I asked How many months do you have in your emergency fund?

Earlier, my blogging friend JD Roth at get Rich Slowly (GRS) asked the same question of his readers, and this is what he found:

How many months do you have in your emergency fund?
GRS 7m7y
less than 3 months 38% 29%
3-6 months 26% 24%
7-12 months 13% 24%
more than 12 months 14% 16%

This shows that more 7m7y readers have 3+ months living expenses in their ’emergency funds’ than GRS readers, which means …

I’ve done a terrible job 🙁

On the other hand, if you answered “what’s an emergency fund?” good for you, you’re already a step ahead of the pack … you see, not everybody – including me – thinks that you need to have an emergency fund at all!

[AJC: At least not until after you reach Your Number]

For instance, Liz Pulliam Weston writes at MSN Money that you should have a $0 emergency fund, replacing it with a concept that she calls ‘financial flexibility’:

The whole idea that everyone needs a big pile of cash, and needs it right now, should be rethought. In reality, the failure to have a fat emergency fund isn’t inevitably a crisis. At the same time, those who feel safe because they have three or even six months’ expenses saved up might be kidding themselves.

Let’s say your take-home pay is about $4,000 a month. Although you have been spending every dime, you make a concerted effort to trim your expenses by 10%. This not only frees up money for your emergency savings but lowers the total amount you need to save from $12,000 to $10,800.

Still, it will take you 27 months — more than two years — to scrape together your emergency fund. And that assumes nothing comes up that forces you to raid your cache.

Let’s explore this a litter further: JD Roth has $10,000 in his emergency fund, but that doesn’t just represent $10,000 today …

…. it represents the future value of $10,000:

Let’s say that you intend to retire in 20 years, if you earn 9% on your money (say, invested in Index Funds) then you are giving up, say, 2% bank interest (by having your emergency fund sit in an ordinary savings account for quick ’emergency’ access) to earn 9% – or, a net of 7%.

That extra 7% earned represents about $8k in extra interest/profit that you are giving up for the benefit of ‘peace of mind’ in an emergency. But, we aren’t investing our money in Index Funds, because we are on a mission: we want to reach $7 Million in just 7 Years!

To us – that is, those of us on a steep financial trajectory – this $10k pile of cash represents seed capital for your new business venture or next real-estate acquisition [AJC: and, don’t tell me that an extra $10k wouldn’t be a big help for either of these endeavors] …

… now, $10k ‘invested’ at:

  • 15% (stocks) grows to $35,000 after just 10 years
  • 30% (real-estate) grows to $106,000 after just 10 years
  • 50% (business) grows to $384,000 after just 10 years

… a slightly larger price to pay for peace of mind 🙂

… but, Will Smith isn’t (completely) happy

So, the jury is IN: money does buy (at least some) happiness

… then, why isn’t Will Smith (who has PLENTY of money) completely happy?!

First, let me backtrack a little:

One of the advantages of being rich – well, 7m7y kind of ‘rich’ – is that acquiring technology isn’t an issue.

That’s why we have a Slingbox, which sends live streaming video from our friend’s satellite TV in Atlanta right to my wife’s PC (or, our home theater) in Australia.

This means that she doesn’t need to miss out on the most current episode of Oprah, and neither do I … on the odd occasion that I happen to be in the same room when she’s watching.

As it happened, on this occasion my wife was catching up on some more recent episodes that she missed while we were busy moving house, and it was how I happened to catch a bit of Will Smith’s Oprah interview.

Will said a couple of things that intrigued me:

First, he said that no matter how much money he accumulates, he never stops worrying about money!

Well, that’s actually good news, because I can see that through every stage of my financial journey, I have never stopped worrying about money.

Good news, because if Will Smith – who must be an order of magnitude or two ahead of me, financially speaking – worries about money, then I can stop worrying about worrying about money.

And, so should you!

It appears that worrying about money is a normal part of the human condition 🙂

The second thing that Will said interested me even more: he’s not satisfied with his achievements to date … he can’t believe that he was put on earth merely to entertain people.

It seems that Will hasn’t found his Life’s Purpose!

Confirmation, to me, that fulfilment comes in three parts:

1. Discovering your Life’s Purpose, then

2. Working towards it, using whatever tools/talents you have been given, then

3. Finally, living your Life’s Purpose.

Step 2 is a means to an end (and, there’s no reason why you can’t bypass it if your Life’s Purpose doesn’t require the passing of time, or the accumulation of supporting assets).

But, don’t confuse Step 2. with Step 3. …

… Will Smith might be famous and known for his singing/acting talents, but (for him) it appears they are merely a means to an end.

Discover your ‘end’, and the ‘means’ – even if not as exciting, profitable, and/or high-profile as Will Smith’s – becomes much more palatable.

What do you think?

5 Secrets Of Self-Made Millionaires

I’m a voracious reader of anything that purports to teach you how to be rich … when I needed to learn, I read everything hoping to find ‘the answer’ … and, after I made it, I continued reading (but, I must admit that I am more discerning now) mostly out of curiosity (to see what others are saying).

In both cases, I was almost invariably disappointed … hence this blog.

But, I was pleasantly surprised to read an article with a [groan] headline: 5 Secrets of Self-Made Millionaires

… it’s actually not that bad. Not rocket-science, but not anywhere near as bad as most similar articles and books are.

Here are the 5 ‘secrets’ and my take on each:

1. Set your sights on where you’re going

T. Harv Eker, author of Secrets of the Millionaire Mind [another groan] says:

The biggest obstacle to wealth is fear. People are afraid to think big, but if you think small, you’ll only achieve small things.

Wanting to be wealthy is a crucial first step.

I obviously agree; if you don’t understand why, you must be a new reader [Hint: It’s to do with discovering your Life’s Purpose and Your Number / Date]

2. Educate yourself

You’re reading this blog post … and, I wrote it, didn’t I? ‘Nuff said 🙂

3. Passion pays off

See 1. above … ZZZZZzzzzzzzzzz

4. Grow your money

Well, d’uh!

But, Loral Langemeier, author of The Millionaire Maker, adds something sensible:

The fastest way to get out of that pattern [the never-ending cycle of living paycheck to paycheck] is to make extra money for the specific purpose of reinvesting in yourself.

[AJC: I would delete the last two words, which are hokum; it doesn’t cost much to “reinvest in yourself” except time … for example, this blog is FREE].

I like this part [AJC: I bolded the part that I like the best … I like it, because I did it, too; that’s how I raised the capital to expand to the USA i.e. from profits left in the business]:

A little moonlighting cash really can grow into a million. Twenty-five years ago, Rick Sikorski dreamed of owning a personal training business. “I rented a tiny studio where I charged $15 an hour,” he says. When money started trickling in, he squirreled it away instead of spending it, putting it all back into the business. Rick’s 400-square-foot studio is now Fitness Together, a franchise based in Highlands Ranch, Colorado, with more than 360 locations worldwide. And he’s worth over $40 million.

I also like:

If you want to get rich, you need to pay yourself first, by putting money where it will work hard for you—whether that’s in your retirement fund, a side business or investments like real estate.

5. No guts, no glory

If there’s any one secret in all of this, it’s this one:

Iif you are a timid mouse (like me), you either have to learn to roar (like I had to) or learn to live with a Small Number / Never Date.

Getting the Life’s Purpose ‘religion’ is one way to put the fire in your belly … it worked for me.

Oh, and they leave the best secret to last (at least the author feels it’s the best), which is funny because this would then be Secret # 6:

The Biggest Secret? Stop spending.

I agree with everything AFTER the ‘?’ above 😉

If you don’t have the money to invest, don’t spend … it’s simple!

But, I don’t agree with this:

Every millionaire we spoke to has one thing in common: Not a single one spends needlessly. Real estate investor Dave Lindahl drives a Ford Explorer and says his middle-class neighbors would be shocked to learn how much he’s worth. Fitness mogul Rick Sikorski can’t fathom why anyone would buy bottled water. Steve Maxwell, the finance teacher, looked at a $1.5 million home but decided to buy one for half the price because “a house with double the cost wouldn’t give me double the enjoyment.”

Don’t believe that Millionaire Next Door cr*p; some multi-millionaires are frugal – even some Billionaires (most notably Warren Buffett) – but, don’t be fooled into believing that’s the majority of multi-millionaires:

I have a friend who works for a 35 year old Russian immigrant who is now a hugely successful hedge fund manager (yes, he’s survived the GFC as far as I know. I’ll check when I’m on Safari in South Africa with my friend later on this year); my friend overheard him explaining to his daughter that he was going to take the family jet to a business meeting, so she would need to fly on a commercial airliner with her mother to get home from their vacation.

This is what he said to his daughter: “You know that there will be people you don’t know on that plane” … at 8 years old, she had never flown other than by private jet!

Another friend works in MLM and had breakfast with that company’s # 1 distributor – a nice, young lady. She receives a $600,000 check every month. She just bought a mountain in Colorado and a special tractor, so that she could grade her own private ski run.

I hope she puts a lot aside for a rainy day; gives overly generously (money and time) to charity and those in need; and, joyfully spends the rest!

I have a simple rule: spend freely, when it doesn’t make sense not to.

Think about that, and let me know what you think it means …

Would you donate your last penny?

They say that the will to give – to donate – generously is governed by a gene. 

For those readers in – or approaching – MM301 (i.e. you’ve made your millions, now you are struggling with what to do with it), I want to test that gene to its fullest, by asking you a question:

Would you donate your last penny?

I can honestly say that I would not …

Which brings me to a related topic: it seems that many people who come into money take a chunk of it to donate. Perhaps to have the wing of a school named after them, or to do some other ‘good works’.

Whether the sum is $1,000,000 or $100,000 or $10,000, when donating what you consider to be a large sum, think about what you are really donating; you are not merely donating $1,000,000 (or $100,000 or $10,000), you are donating the future value of $1,000,000:

Let’s say that you plan on living for another 40 years, and you can invest your money at 5% above inflation, then the real value of your donation is not $1,000,000 but more than $6.7 million!

[AJC: if inflation runs at 4%, and you can get an average return of 9% over 40 years your $1 million will grow to almost $29 million, but inflation takes away a huge chunk of it!]

When thinking about donating that $1 million [AJC: The Cartwood Family Wing does sound tempting], I’m not really thinking too much about that $6.7 million [AJC: or, $28.8 million … ounch!], I’m actually asking myself:

Would I donate my last $1 million?

You already know the answer to that 😉

But, why?

If all goes belly-up in my financial life, I really may have just given away my last $1 million … in other words: if I lose $6 million, I am now broke (since I already gave away the 7th million of my 7m7y).

That’s why I would never donate a lump sum … instead, I would invest that $1 million for the benefit of charity. Further, I would not even pledge the capital or the income stream in advance, I would simply make the requisite donations annually and anonymously.

It may not get my name ‘in lights’ [boo hoo]; it may not help the charity with capital acquisitions; and, it may not be the most tax-effective method of donation (compared to, say, charitable trusts and the like), but it will help both the charity and me, long-term:

1. The chances are that I can invest $1 million far better than the people running the charity can [AJC: after all, I’ve made 7m7y]

2. It’s likely that the charity – or, some other equally worthy casue – can use $6.7 million more than they can use $1 million, albeit spread over 40 years; but, I admit that I’m just making a wild guess that the world will need philanthropy for at least the next 40 years.

3. If all goes belly up, and I end up becoming the one in urgent need of ‘charity’, I can ‘donate’ my last million (at least the income thereof) to myself and my family.

4. When I die, if I feel so inclined, I can finally donate either the asset or the income stream (or both) to the charity as I will no longer require it as insurance for myself. On the other hand, I may choose to pass it on to my family and let them decide.

I guess nobody will be talking about “AJ Cartwood, the great AustraloAmerican investor, raconteur, and philanthropist” … at least, not during my lifetime 😉

The timeless secret to making money in real-estate!

OK, so if the ‘secret’ to making money hasn’t changed in 50 years …

[AJC: if you didn’t read yesterday’s post, it’s simple: buy a rental property with about 25% down; renovate; trade up and start again; repeat until rich!]

… why are there so few people doing it?

It could be market fever: “the market’s too [insert excuse of choice: hot, cold, near, far, etc.]”; but, I suspect it’s the age old reason: you simply don’t know HOW.

Ok, so let me make it simple: save up a reasonable deposit (15% to 25% works for me), and do the most cost-effective renovation (also called remodeling or rehabbing, depending on what country you live in) possible.

The question is, what are the best ‘bang for buck’ renovations to do?

Well, here is a national summary of typical renovation/remodeling projects (including their average cost and how much resale value that they add to the project):

Despite this, I would not go about replacing all of the wooden front doors in my condos with steel doors! In fact, I would still look at:

1. Repaint / recarpet,

2. New blinds, door handles, light fittings (all of these can be quite cheap, as long as they work/look OK),

3. Kitchen remodel (you may be able to resurface the existing cabinets)

4. Bathroom remodel (you may be able to resurface the existing tiles, baths, and vanities)

5. Also, if it’s a house (not a condo), then you should paint the exterior and fix up the garden

6. Again, if it’s a house, perhaps the MOST ‘bang for buck’ rehab that you can do is to add another bedroom (especially to change a two-bedroom house into a three-bedroom house).

If you think it’s expensive, think again … just be very wary of your budget!

Here’s how it panned out for us:

We purchased one condo a street or two away from the beach:

– We bought for about $220k,

– Spent $15k on a rehab (paint/carpet, kitchen/bathroom remodel, door knobs and light fittings),

– Rented it out (we didn’t need to sell it).

It’s now worth $450k to $550k a mere 6 or 7 years later.

We then repeated with a block of 4 condos:

– Bought all 4 for $1.25 million,

– Rehabbed for $200k ($50k each condo), including the fees necessary to retitle from apartments (rental) to condos (rental or individual sale)

– It’s now worth $1.8 million to $2.25 million, a mere 6 years later.

For the four condo’s, we spent $50k in renovations (each condo: $200k total)), which bought us: paint inside/outside, new kitchen bathroom carpet, light fittings, security entrance for the building AND conversion of the front of the building into a private courtyard for one of the apartments, and conversion of the rear laundry into an ensuite bathroom for another condo in the block!

If you think the work is hard and/or time-consuming, we didn’t do the rehab on either project and didn’t even see the second project until 5 years after it was finished! We believe in outsourcing everything 🙂

How successful are they?

You’ve  heard the pitches, seen the ads, and even read the books …

… but, how successful are those ‘best-selling’ real-estate authors, anyway?

John T Reed is the guru-basher – rightly or wrongly, he reads, judges, and publishes his views on his web-site. Click on this link to read what he has to say about some of those real-estate gurus, then come back here.

You see, I want to point you to the very first ‘guru’ that he mentions: it’s William Nickerson. William Nickerson was unique in that he really was successful, and interesting for two reasons:

1. He actually wrote a best-selling book on real-estate that is the genuine article, and

2. He wrote (or commissioned) perhaps the very first real newspaper ‘advertorial’ (see the image, above).

According to John T Reed, an accomplished and genuine real-estate investor in his own right, William Nickerson:

… told the truth – but he did that back in 1959. His book, which is excellent, says to save money, put 25% down on rental property, renovate it, and exchange up to a bigger one and repeat the process.

Simple, but effective!

BTW: I now remember that Rich Dad, Poor Dad was NOT the first personal finance book that I ever read. It was, in fact, an old book that I found in my Dad’s book shelf. It was called something like: How I Made $1 Million In Real-Estate and was written by a Hungarian ballet dancer who either moved or defected to the USA and somehow found a lucrative ‘hobby’ in real-estate.

His system was very similar: buy one rental property, rehab, and trade up for a duplex. Repeat and trade up to a quadraplex. And, keep going!

I can’t believe that I forgot about this book, as it was the one that really fired my imagination, after which I promptly did NOTHING towards investing in real-estate for at least the next 10 years 🙁

You gotta have a hobby …

I don’t collect bees!

My hobby is personal finance: talking about it, writing about it, reading about it, thinking about it …

… strangely enough, making money is actually not my hobby [AJC: although, I far prefer it to the alternative ;)] although making money gives me the credibility to do the talking/writing.

Anyhow, one of my latest readings is a series of e-mails that is a section-by-section delivery of what Malcolm Hughes also sells as an eBook.

Presumably, when reading these e-mails, you will get SO EXCITED that you won’t be able to wait for the next FREE e-mail, so you will fork out your money for the eBook – ‘Millionaire Stealth Secrets’ Handbook.

Surprisingly, I found that I can wait 😉

For a ‘Millionaire Handbook’, there’s actually NO advice on making/keeping money that I can see, unless you count e-mail upon boring e-mail of goal setting / visualization / dreaming mumbo-jumbo as ‘millionaire advice’.

In fact, the first piece of sensible advice that I can see is the following passage from the 28th e-mail in the series (!):

Listen to this…   Every single hugely successful person in the history of mankind has failed at least once. In many ways, they had to in order to succeed. Richard Branson [billionaire founder/owner of Virgin Records/Airlines/Credit Cards/etc./etc./etc.] was almost put out of business by the Royal Mail strikes of 1971. His mail order record business relied on the post to make money. Instead of ruining him, it made him stronger and he began opening his record shops. He was also nearly liquidised by Coutts Bank for being £300,000 in overdraft!

But whatever had happened, there would still be a Richard Branson. In fact, if Coutts Bank HAD liquidised him, he might have been even richer by now! You see, what CAN happen to a person when he/she fails is that he/she realises at least 3 things that he/she would not have realised had he/she not failed.

1.      Money is actually easily replaceable

2.      There is nothing to fear about failure

3.      Failure is SOMETIMES necessary and ALWAYS fruitful

Fear of failure is one of the key hold-backs that stops people from stepping out of their comfort-zone, so this is good – and true – advice.

Unfortunately, IMHO the rest is BS 🙂

The Myth Of Saving Your Way To Retirement …

Quite a while ago, I published a post that took a look at the supposed ‘power’ of saving …

… if you didn’t read it then, now would be a good time to ask yourself if you really care that weekly contributions of $34 could potentially grow to over $76,000 in 20 years, as proudly proclaimed by Fidelity?

One reader, Concojones, thinks that I have underestimated the ‘power of savings’:

Let’s not dismiss too quickly the good old save-your-way-to-retirement advice. Saving $15k/year for 40 years yields an expected $2.5M in today’s dollars (for what it’s worth: $10+M in retirement dollars), assuming your investments go up 5-6% per year after inflation.

Let’s not dismiss it too quickly, indeed. Retiring with $10 million in your pocket (albeit, ‘only’ worth $2.5 million in today’s purchasing power) is none too shabby.

The only problem that I can see – actually, the only FOUR problems that I can see are:

1. You have to be happy (well, ‘happy’ is a relative term) to work for 40 years,

2. You have to save $15k per year – easy at the end of 40 years, very hard at the beginning … and, even harder in the middle when you might be earning ‘only’ $50k (before tax) and have to put away 15% to 30% of your salary “with four hungry children and a crop in the field” [AJC: if you’re old enough to remember that Kenny Rogers song]

3. You have to average 8% to 10% return on your type of investment – but it has to be one that lets you add $15k annual increments for 40 years (which ties you to ‘standard’ products like, CD’s, bonds, stocks, and mutual funds).

4. You MUST be disciplined enough to stick to this simple strategy for the entire 40 years WITHOUT WAVERING in up/down markets: the Dalbar Study [ http://www.canadiancapitalist.com/investors-behaving-badly/ ] says a firm NO to being able to achieve anything like this rate of return.

So, great on a spreadsheet, but I wouldn’t want to bet my life on it 😉

A question I’m not sure I should answer …

Sometimes, I’m posed a question that I’m not sure that I should answer.

Case in point: Drew asked a question about my 7 Million Dollar Journey :

What were the terms of your first $1.25 million building purchase in 2001? You mentioned you had been in debt and had been losing money in your business until sometime in 2000 when you began to turn a profit. You had to have had a lot of profits quickly to put together the down payment for the building and be approved for a loan in such a short time period after years of money losing operations.

A straight-forward question, but the answer isn’t straight-forward … there’s a question of ethics and also a question of giving my readers potentially dangerous strategies.

After much uhmm’ing and aah’ing, I’ve decided that honesty is the best policy and to throw it to my readers to decide on the issues of ethics and danger:

As I mentioned, I had only recently become profitable, yet I managed to:

1. Stump up the 25% deposit on a $1.25 million commercial real-estate purchase,

2. Make the mortgage payments,

3. Make the additional lease payments on the $400k rehab and fit-out required.

Quite a tall order, so here’s how I managed it:

First, I made sure that I was profitable enough to:

i) Make the mortgage payments as and when due,

ii) Keep up with the lease payments,

iii) Pay back the deposit

Did you catch that?

Number (iii), I said: “Pay back the deposit”

You see, I actually borrowed 100%+ (i.e. the deposit, the mortgage set up fees, and the closing costs), but here is where the question of ethics and danger come into it …

… I borrowed the deposit and the closing costs from my customers!

And, here’s where ‘ethics’ come into the picture – my customers didn’t know!

You see, one of the easiest, best, but most dangerous ways to raise money, is to raise it from your customers.

How?

It’s actually quite simple: most businesses have large inventories (the goods that you hold in stock), accounts payable (money that you owe your suppliers) and accounts receivable (money that your customers owe you).

Any and all of these have value.

For example, it’s quite a normal/accepted practice to borrow against the value of your inventory; unfortunately, your bank may not want to take the risk, and your finance broker may only give you a little money at a high interest cost because of the perceived risk (after all, do they really know how to sell the inventory if you default?).

It’s also quite normal to leverage the value in your receivables by approaching a specialist finance company to ‘factor’ those debts: that means that instead of waiting 4 to 6 weeks for your customers to pay, the finance company may advance you up to 80% of the value of those debts (i.e. your total receivables). This is, in fact, one of the businesses that I still own.

But, there is a third method that requires no bank or finance company to get involved: it’s simply to pay your suppliers slower than your customers pay you!

My business, being a services business had no stock (so no inventory finance opportunity), and factoring can have the stigma of a weak business so I didn’t want to go that route with my ‘Fortune 500’ corporate clients.

But, I did have a very tight contract that saw my largest clients paying my invoices in just 7 days (really!), yet I was only obligated to pay my suppliers in 30 to 60 days. Further, my turnover was huge (compared to my fees) because of the nature of my business.

This meant, effectively, that I had a line of finance equal to 3 to 7 weeks of my sales/turnover!

That was more than enough to raise the deposit for the building.

OK, back to my initial reticence to share this with you:

1. In most businesses, the turnover isn’t large enough, and the negotiated spread between accounts payable/receivable large enough to raise very much cash,

2. I think it’s ethical to use these funds for your business (unless you have lead your customers to believe that these funds are to be, somehow, quarantined and/or held in trust), borderline to use them for the building that houses the business (for example is the building going to be bought in the name of the business, or in a separate entity as I would normally recommend?), and unethical to use them for personal use / purchases outside the business … but, ethics is in the eye of the beholder, so YOU tell me what you think?!

3. I think it’s dangerous because your business MUST have the necessary solvency (not just profitability) to not only keep up with the payments (both mortgage and lease) as well as to ‘buy back’ the deposit over a relatively short period of time (in my case, 12 to 18 months).

So, now you are armed with a powerful – and dangerous – business financing tool. Use it wisely … and, sparingly!

How much home should I buy?

A reader who works with RE, Whittier Homes, says:

I’m in the camp that you don’t leave too much equity tied up in the walls of a house. That being said there is a risk factor or a comfort zone that every investor has to know. The bottom line is you don’t want to get over leverage and get caught on the short end of a declining market.

Home equity is simply what your home is valued at (today) less what you still owe on it (today).

This leads me to think that I’ve never said … and, nobody’s ever asked: How much equity should I have in my own home?

Well, there’s a reason:

I have NOTHING to say about how much equity – as a % of your house value – and, EVERYTHING to say about how much equity – as a % of your Net Worth – you should have tied up in your own home.

In other words, your equity is a function of:

– How much your house costs to buy

– How much it increases in value over time

– How much deposit you have available now

– How much you choose to put in / take out of the value of your house over time

I have no advice as to how much you should spend on your house in the first place, that’s your business not mine 🙂

But, I do have some guidelines that pretty much help to answer the “how much home should I buy?” question (other than for your first home), albeit obliquely:

1. The 20% Rule ensures that you are always investing at least 75% of your entire Net Worth (after allowing for another 5% to be spent on ‘stuff’),

2. The 25% Income Rule ensures that if you do decide to borrow money to buy a home, that you do not overcommit your cashflow,

3. The Cash Cascade makes sure that if you do have a mortgage, that you don’t pay it off too quickly if better investing opportunities abound.

Put these ‘rules’ into practice and you won’t go too far wrong, when it comes to your own home …