Tag Archives: millionaire

Now, this is a clever post …

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Maybe it’s only because I recently compared personal finance to Vegemite, but I like this guy: he has the gumption [AJC: don’t think this is the right word; any ideas?] to compare soccer to personal finance, then actually make it make sense!

Not to mention, it’s just plain good advice:

Spain is Soccer World Cup 2010 Champion. Analysts say that is because of their mental strength, their wily forwards, a strong defence and the hardworking midfield.

Apart from the mental strength, which is invisible, what’s visible on the field are three important components.
1. Forwards, to score the goals.
2. Midfielders, to control the game.
3. Defenders, to save, not leak goals.

I know you have this idea that I would be comparing soccer with Personal Finance. Here it is.

Personal Finance has three important components too.
1. Investing, to get more bang on your money.
2. Maximizing your income, to control the game of money.
3. Frugality, to save and not leak money.

And yes, you also need to have that mental strength not to be dragged down by “fear and greed”. And keep coming back even after failure.

Now, I haven’t given the whole game away [pun intended!], because Ranjan goes on to talk about the three types of investors … but, you’ll have to read his post to find out šŸ™‚

View your 401k as insurance!

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I agree with Financial Samurai’s basic sentiment, which is to effectively ‘write off’ your 401k and Social Security:

Every month I contribute $1,375 to my 401K so that by the end of the year, the 401K is maxed out at $16,500.Ā  Unfortunately, $16,500 a year is a ridiculously low amount of money to save for retirement if you really do the math.Ā  After 10 years, you might have $200,000, and after 30 years you might have $600,000 to $1 million depending on the markets and your employerā€™s match.Ā  Whatever the case may be, the 401K is simply not enough money to retire on, especially since you need to pay tax upon distribution.

CNN Money and other advisers showcased super savers who to my surprise include 401K and IRA contributions as part of their percentage savings calculations.Ā  In other words, if you make $100,000 a year, save $4,000 a year in cash, and contribute $16,000 in your 401K, you are considered by financial advisers as saving 20% of your gross income.Ā  Your $20,000 in ā€œsavingsā€ is woefully light because in reality, you are only saving $4,000 a year. With the stock market implosion of 2008,Ā  your 401K has proven itself to be totally unreliable.Ā  Like Social Security, contribute to it like any good citizen should, but in no way depend on Social Security or your 401K to retire a comfortable life.Ā  I

Depending on Social Security is depending on the government doing the right thing.Ā  Thereā€™s no way thatā€™s going to happen.Ā  Depending on your 401K is depending on people choosing the right stocks consistently over the long run, which isnā€™t going to happen either.

Because Social Security is a burden on governments and society, it’s always at risk of being watered down or eliminated … this is less of a risk the older your are (hence closer to receiving the payments).

But, not so your 401k: while governments can (and, probably will) water down – instead of increase – the contributions and benefits of your retirement program, the money that you contribute (and, your employer match) is still yours!

I don’t think you’ll ever lose what you contribute + whatever gains the flawed investment choices available may bring.

I look at my retirement plan (which I haven’t contributed to in years!) as insurance: if all else fails, when I reach whatever age the government of the time lets me access MY money, I’ll have something to keep me one step away from homeless … just.

So, I agree with Financial Samurai’s closing advice:

The only person you can depend on is yourself.Ā  This is why you must save that minimum 20% of your gross income every year on top of contributing to your 401K and IRA if you can.

You’ve heard of Paying Yourself Once? Well, I think you need to Pay Yourself Twiceā„¢ … once inside your 401k (there’s your ‘insurance policy premium’), and once outside of your 401k.

It’s the money that you can put aside OUTSIDE of your 401k that will drive your wealth, because you can put it to MUCH BETTER USE (e.g. investing in business, real-estate, value stocks, etc.) than that money locked away inside your 401k and in the hands of grossly under-performing, fee-driven mutual fund managers šŸ™‚

Managing your life through the rear-view mirror …

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Not many people are rich, so following COMMON financial wisdom can’t be all that it’s cracked up to be, can it?

Case in point: paying down your mortgage is a subject that always gets a rise out of my readers.

I see it very simply:

If mortgage rates are currently 5%, what investments can give you 5% + whatever margin you feel you need to compensate you for risk?

How ‘risky’ is that risk? And, what do you stand to lose?

Some people, like Executioner, look at the 100% risk/loss scenario:

Although Iā€™ll concede that it is unlikely that a broad index fund would ever drop to zero, itā€™s not outside the realm of possibility.

Sure, it’s not outside the realms of possibility, but has it EVER happened?

What’s the worst 30 year return that the stock market (as represented by, say, the entire S&P500), a basket of ‘blue chips’ (say, Coke + Berkshire Hathaway + GE + IBM etc.) have returned, or any solid piece of real-estate (be it residential or commercial)?

I’m betting that it’s not zero … not, by a long-shot!

But, maybe the rules have suddenly changed?

Neil thinks so, at least when it comes to house values:

House appreciation used to be a sure bet, but it isnā€™t any more.

But, I can’t help wondering … we used to say: “the market is going UP, blue sky everywhere … the rules have changed, it’s going to keep going UP”.

And, that thinking, of course, lead to ridiculously high valuations of both stocks and RE … and, a correction had to come.

And, it did. Big time!

Now, we seem to be saying: “no 8% returns for next 30 years [Executioner]” or “House appreciation used to be a sure bet, but it isnā€™t any more [Neil]” … “the risk/reward balance is different now [I made this one up]”.

So, I can’t help wondering:

If this is really the case … if things really weren’t different BEFORE (i.e. the market couldn’t keep climbing) are they really different NOW (or, can the market really keep falling?) …

… or, are we just guilty of doing more ‘rear mirror’ personal financial management?

I can’t give you the answer … only 30 years of ‘future history’ can do that!

But, if things haven’t suddenly changed PERMANENTLY – if the fundamental principles really haven’t changed – then, isn’t a ‘down market’ a GOOD time to buy?

Or, is that just the way that Warren Buffett thinks?

And, I know one which side of this coin I’ll be betting on šŸ˜‰

Does MLM go too far?

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Silicon Valley Blogger joins some others in hating on a particular MLM company. You can read his/her post to find out which one and why …

Now, I have absolutely NO experience with that particular MLM, and very little personal MLM experience at all, other than reading a lot about MLM when I was younger and participating in Amway for a little while.

But, I take issue with SVB’s sub-heading (about half-way into his post; asking: “Does MLM go too far?” And, I wasn’t afraid to tell him/her so:

I donā€™t think that thereā€™s anything inherently wrong with MLM; itā€™s like saying that franchising sucks: it all depends on the company.

Itā€™s POTENTIALLY a great business model on 3 levels:

1. For the company: they get to take a product straight to market, cutting out layers of fixed marketing costs by replacing them with a multi-level commission structure.

2. For the (very?!) small % of ā€˜distributorsā€™ who build large networks: they get to build a ā€˜passiveā€™ income stream that lasts as long as the company does. I have a friend who makes $200k+ a month (for years now), and sips coffee and develops property when he gets bored. Not so bad.

3. For the majority of distributors: they get to buy product that they presumably love and use at discounted prices, and they may even earn some ā€™side incomeā€™. Itā€™s what they do with this money (invest? start a ā€˜real businessā€™?), and what they learn (people skills? sales skills?) that can provide the real value.

ā€¦ this is all assuming that they do their homework and choose a reputable company. But, isnā€™t that the case with everything we do or invest in?

DISCLAIMER: The author of this comment has no relationship with any MLM, being a retired multi-millionaire who made his money in MUCH more mundane ways (ā€˜real businessā€™ and ā€˜real investingā€™) ;)

A couple of reader e-mails …

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I like receiving questions / comments, etc. via e-mail, even if it’s not always flattering, like this one from ‘hardtop’:

Been reading your website for a while and your posts. What you share is nothing new.Ā  Just the same recycled material that all the “guru” financial “experts” share with their flock. None it it will make you rich, nevermind 7in7. Becoming rich is more about being in the right place at the right time (luck) with the right product and enough capital. One could follow yours and similar advice for years and never get rich. Keep up the good work. Ā šŸ™‚

Of course, since ‘hardtop’ has been reading my website for a while and my posts, he should know – as my regular readers already know – that I hold totally opposing views to many gurus such as Suze Orman, Dave Ramsey, and Ric Edelman.

But, I do admit with great shame that I have ‘recycled’ material from Robert Kiyosaki, Michael Masterson, and Phil Town šŸ™

Of course, it was very specific information, with the source, hopefully, credited šŸ™‚

And, while I do agree that it helps to be “in the right place at the right time (luck) with the right product and enough capital”, I had to create the ‘right’ products for the businesses that helped to propel me to $7 million in 7 years,Ā  as well as creating a market for them – without ANY outside capital – and, I had to commit to moving countries … and, putting EVERYTHING that I had on the line to get there!

[AJC: Insert favorite inspirational quote about making your own luck, here]

Oh, and before then, instead of spending my meager profits, I invested them in real-estate.

I guess we can put my success down to luck, after all šŸ˜‰

Financial rock’n’roll …

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I don’t think that I ever mentioned it at the time, but I went to Warren Buffett’s Annual General Meeting in Omaha in 2008.

It was like going to a rock concert … without the music.

It was held at some football stadium, which was packed with 30,000 (maybe more?!) people and Warren Buffett and his long-time business partner, Charlie Munger sitting at a table with three large video screens behind them (just showing Warren and Charlie sitting at the table … only MUCH larger!).

They basically spent the day munching on Sees Candy (peanut brittle, I believe) and sipping on Coke …

Warren invites all the ‘international visitors’ [AJC: That’s anybody who registers with a foreign passport as their ID … I have a US driver’s license, of course, but I heard that there were ‘extra benefits” to registering using international ID] to a meet and greet.

This meant bringing anything that you bought from his trade show in the huge conference hall attached to the stadium (he has stands from a number of the 70+ businesses that he owns) and he and Charlie will shake your hand and sign it one item that you bought.

But, he stopped doing that – after 2008 – because there was a line of 1,000+ people waiting to shake his hand and get their signature. I know this, because when I got to him, the World’s Greatest Investor spoke to me!

He said (looking visibly paled): “Are there many more people in this line”. Sadly, I had to say there were …

Still, I got my $5 T-shirt signed, and had it framed with a couple of Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger playing cards (!), a couple of pictures that I printed from a web-site after googling “warren buffett”, and my round official entry badge.

Which has nothing to do with anything other than Bill McNabb – who replaced the famous founder of Vanguard (with their famous, low-cost Index Funds), John Bogle, who also seems to afford ‘rock star status’ with fans of his investing philosophy (which, naturally centers around buying and holding Index Funds) calling themselves Bogleheads and acting more like rockstar groupies than investing disciples – recently said that one ā€œessential ingredientā€ in the investing and advice business, is:

Simplicity, which is exemplified by the ā€œFive-Minute Ruleā€ first coined by Richard Ennis of the pension consulting firm Ennis, Knupp: ā€œIf you donā€™t understand the thesis underlying an investment in five minutes or less, take a pass.ā€

This equally reminds me of a recent story of a company that a friend of mine was CEO of that existed solely to build, manage, and sell tax-advantaged agricultural ‘investments’:

Basically, this company did complex deals with rural land-owners, farmers, and so on to plant certain crops and sell shares to private investors; the advantage to the investors being (a) immediate and attractive tax-deductions, and (b) future (i.e. 10 to 30 year) capital returns … trees take a LONG time to grow!

Given that one friend was their CEO, another one of their key operations directors, and a third an enthusiastic ‘professional’ (counting, amongst others, my wife as his client) who positively represented the project to a number of my affluent friends who were also his clients, you may ask how much I invested in the company.

The answer is ZERO.

You see, I don’t invest in anything:

1. That eats or grows (because eventually it will stop eating, stop growing, and will die),

2. Uses tax-advantages as one of its key features (because I don’t mind paying my fair share of tax and governments have a sneaky habit of changing the tax rules),

3. Because of the 5-minute rule (if I don’t IMMEDIATELY understand it, I don’t buy it … and, truth be told, I don’t IMMEDIATELY understand much).

Postscript: because of the Australian drought, many of the trees did die, and the government did change the tax rules, and the company did go broke … and, many of my friends did lose 100% of their investment.

And, I still don’t understand the business 5,000,000 minutes later šŸ˜‰

Flash of genius?

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I was watching the Greg Kinnear movie: Flash of Genius.

It’s the one where an academic engineer beats the giant auto makers in the ’40s to inventing the intermittent wiper that you see on your car.

In case you are thinking of starting a patent-based business … don’t.

To understand why, please watch the movie; you’ll see a man’s solitary struggle over 20 years to (luckily, successfully) enforce his patent rights against a giant corporation (in this case, Ford).

You’ll also get a bit of a wake-up call about the legal profession (they will aim to settle a case early, so that they get their 30% quickly).

But, what piqued my interest was the characterization of the man at the center of the story:

He (according to a screen play that probably had very little to do with reality) suddenly got the notion that fixed speed wipers were stupid, so he immediately – and, I mean that night (!) – set about solving the problem.

Now, I suddenly realized that man is me!

Case in point:

I created a little e-book some time ago for an online experiment that I was running for you guys; I actually gave the e-book away on this site but – for the purposes of the experiment – sold it for a few bucks a copy on a site that I set up for that purpose.

Well, I’d been selling a few copies along the way … but, the experiment served it’s purpose, and I almost forgot about the book.

But, it’s good! A simple, concise overview of everything that we talk about on this blog.

So, on Thursday night, I suddenly get the idea for a site called “little free book”; I thought: “why not give this little book away to everybody … heck, I don’t need the money”.

By Monday morning (that’s now), I have all of the pieces in place: book; graphics; web-site; twitter account; and, Facebook ‘fan ‘page‘.

I have two points that I would like to make:

1. It’s really easy to set yourself up on the Internet, especially if you have a blog: you have plenty of knowledge collected in your own blog (on whatever that subject may be) to create your own for-free and/or for-fee information products.

If I can get all of this up and running BY MYSELF over one weekend, surely you can do the same over a week or two? You may not make much money (or, you may make a lot!) but, you will gain a huge amount of experience with ‘new media’ and ‘social media’ … as well as business.

You might even make enough money to kick-start some other business and/or investment program.

2. What I don’t have is any clear strategy of what to do, other than give these books away to as many people as possible.

But, that’s OK … you read the book byĀ  Ready, Fire, Aim by Michael Masterson didn’t you? If you haven’t, the message is clear: any ACTION is better than no action.

Now, that the site is out of my head and onto the virtual ‘paper’ of the Internet, I have PLENTY of time to cogitate on all the potential strategies and counter-strategies of what I might/should/won’t/shouldn’t do with the Little Free Book.

But, until I got SOMETHING going, I really didn’t have much to think about, did I?

Oh, if you don’t already have my e-book, I would love for you to download a copy for yourself, and even send this link: wwww.littlefreebook.com to your friends.

I would also LOVE for you to click ‘like’ on my new Facebook ‘fan page’ that I set up specially for this book: http://www.facebook.com/pages/Little-Free-Book/119974768055224 and, encourage your Facebook friends to do the same.

And, if you are a fellow blogger, you already know what to do …

But – and, this is a big BUT – only if you like the book … and, me šŸ™‚

Why Vegemite is like personal finance …

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It occurs to me that, at the age of 49+, that I still like Vegemite, that quintessential Australian curiosity very loosely labeled as ‘food’.

If you don’t know what Vegemite is, let me give you a few brief ‘highlights’:

– Vegemite is a salty black spread that is best used VERY sparingly on toast or dry crackers;

– Aussie children are almost weaned on it … it’s the only way to learn how to like it!

– It’s predecessor is Marmite, an English product derived from animal fats;

– Vegemite, on the other hand, is made from the sludge left over from pouring beer out of its vats (really!)

– It used to be fed to pigs, because of its very high Vitamin B content, until an Australian Food Scientist discovered how to refine it slightly and feed it to children [kids = pigs?]

Even though I actually LIKE Vegemite, I can understand that to most people it is totally inedible:

I met a food scientist who was working on a project to create Vegemite cookies to help feed the less-fortunate in Africa (again, because of its super-high Vitamin B content); this came on the back of the very successful Milk Cookie project which helped to bring Calcium to places (like Africa) where the shipping and transport of dairy products would be just too difficult.

Unfortunately, they had to cancel the project … there was just no way to make the Vegemite cookies taste good!

Now, I can actually relate to how bad this stuff must taste to others (yet tastes so good to me … in moderation!) because I was traveling to Amsterdam and in the clothing store (that I stopped by to buy a hat and scarf for the bitterly cold winter weather) there was a jar of candy on the counter …

… actually, it was liquorish – so, I took one and almost spat it straight out … it was THAT horribly salty! Apparently, it’s a delicacy in Holland on par with Vegemite (and, as bad tasting to the uninitiated).

One man’s food it definitely another man’s poison.

But, to get an idea as to how popular Vegemite really is – despite the taste (!) – here are three anecdotes for you:

1. Kraft bought the rights to Vegemite at some point, and if you visit their offices in Northbrook, Illinois (as I have) you will see its logo displayed very prominently on the wall above the receptionist’s desk. Not bad for a product only sold in a country of 20 million people (and, stocked in the USA almost purely for visiting Aussies).

2. Vegemite is inherently kosher (apparently pig food isn’t as unkosher as pigs-as-food) , but when Kraft decided to cut costs and take it off the kosher list (meaning that religious Jews in Australia could no longer buy it … a very small minority, in a very sparsely populated country), there was such an outcry that Kraft had to certify Vegemite as kosher again.

3. When we came to America, we brought 6 huge jars with us (and, brought more back on every trip home); this is not just us: my wife accidentally met a girl who was also relocating to Chicago … they were both at the supermarket checkout with a few of these large jars and (naturally) got talking.

So, what?

Well, there is a personal finance message and it’s this: one size doesn’t necessarily fit all … what one person likes may not suit the other at all.

That’s why when Steve asked me why I recommend that you put aside 2 year’s living expenses in retirement (as opposed to zero dollars before retirement) in your ’emergency fund’, I can’t really disagree when he says:

Adrian, what you said makes sense in most cases I suppose, but ,each case /person will have different circumstances ,even after retirement.Some sort of funds set aside seems a wise move.You cannot fore see very situation that might arise,especially at an advanced age.

So, yes I agree that there is no magic in the 2 years’ number: put aside 1 year, 18 months, 2 years, or more …. I don’t really care!

And, does it really matter whether you meet the 20% Rule or make it, say, 15% or 25%?

Probably not …

BUT, the principles behind these rules – indeed, the whole methodology that I am slowly unfolding in these posts (in the random, shambly way that bloggers like to follow) – is One Size Fits All.

Why?

Because the principle is simple: Find out how much you need to make (and why and by when), then work out how hard you need to work (financially) and how much risk you need to take to get there, then go for it!

But, if you stray too far from the the guidelines that I provide, the chances are that you will not be investing enough to make any sort of meaningfully large Number by any reasonably soon Date.

Second guess the Been-There-Done-That Multi-Millionaire who has a passion for sharing his hard-won personal/financial experience at your peril šŸ˜‰

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